Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, elevating the market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 to reach 25°C or above at 78%. Ensemble model guidance indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet strengthened by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This setup aligns with typical spring warming patterns while introducing modest uncertainty around exact peak readings due to variable cloud cover and local wind shifts. Traders are monitoring the next official KMA briefing for any adjustments to intensity or timing before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$77,959 KL.
MỚI
$77,959 KL.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C or higher
79%
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 18%
23°C 3.4%
22°C <1%
MỚI
$77,959 KL.
MỚI
$77,959 KL.
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,932 KL.
<1%
16°C
$5,911 KL.
<1%
17°C
$5,706 KL.
<1%
18°C
$7,514 KL.
<1%
19°C
$4,623 KL.
<1%
20°C
$3,425 KL.
<1%
21°C
$9,083 KL.
<1%
22°C
$7,384 KL.
1%
23°C
$6,719 KL.
3%
24°C
$3,894 KL.
18%
25°C or higher
$10,773 KL.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, elevating the market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 to reach 25°C or above at 78%. Ensemble model guidance indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet strengthened by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This setup aligns with typical spring warming patterns while introducing modest uncertainty around exact peak readings due to variable cloud cover and local wind shifts. Traders are monitoring the next official KMA briefing for any adjustments to intensity or timing before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$77,959Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, elevating the market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 to reach 25°C or above at 78%. Ensemble model guidance indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet strengthened by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This setup aligns with typical spring warming patterns while introducing modest uncertainty around exact peak readings due to variable cloud cover and local wind shifts. Traders are monitoring the next official KMA briefing for any adjustments to intensity or timing before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$77,959Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecast updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air over the Korean Peninsula, elevating the market-implied probability for Seoul’s highest temperature on May 18 to reach 25°C or above at 78%. Ensemble model guidance indicates afternoon highs settling in the mid-20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet strengthened by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures. This setup aligns with typical spring warming patterns while introducing modest uncertainty around exact peak readings due to variable cloud cover and local wind shifts. Traders are monitoring the next official KMA briefing for any adjustments to intensity or timing before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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