Current forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on May 17?
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 KL.
$111,647 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 KL.
$111,647 KL.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSCurrent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Taipei on May 17, driven by light easterly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical early-season conditions before the full onset of the Meiyu front. These stable atmospheric patterns align with regional model consensus, supporting the market’s overwhelming 100% implied probability for the 31°C outcome. Historical May baselines for Taipei average 28–30°C under similar setups, adding confidence in the projected warmth. An unexpected surge in afternoon convection or a subtle shift in steering winds could still nudge the peak to 32°C or hold it at 30°C before official station readings finalize resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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