Recent forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18 under mostly sunny skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. This positioning reflects model consensus on southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though slight differences in projected wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable; traders weigh these official guidance updates against potential revisions from overnight model runs ahead of the market's resolution at the Toronto Pearson station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on May 18?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 18?
30°C 26%
32°C or higher 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 20%
MỚI
$15,277 KL.
MỚI
$15,277 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
20%
30°C
26%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
21%
30°C 26%
32°C or higher 21%
29°C 20%
31°C 20%
MỚI
$15,277 KL.
MỚI
$15,277 KL.
May 18, 2026
22°C or below
$4,277 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,116 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,608 KL.
<1%
25°C
$658 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,468 KL.
1%
27°C
$692 KL.
3%
28°C
$1,530 KL.
13%
29°C
$1,184 KL.
20%
30°C
$595 KL.
26%
31°C
$738 KL.
20%
32°C or higher
$1,420 KL.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18 under mostly sunny skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. This positioning reflects model consensus on southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though slight differences in projected wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable; traders weigh these official guidance updates against potential revisions from overnight model runs ahead of the market's resolution at the Toronto Pearson station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,277Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18 under mostly sunny skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. This positioning reflects model consensus on southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though slight differences in projected wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable; traders weigh these official guidance updates against potential revisions from overnight model runs ahead of the market's resolution at the Toronto Pearson station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$15,277Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZRecent forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 31°C for Toronto on May 18 under mostly sunny skies, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 29–32°C. This positioning reflects model consensus on southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating, though slight differences in projected wind speeds and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty between the 30°C and 32°C+ outcomes. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, making the current warm anomaly notable; traders weigh these official guidance updates against potential revisions from overnight model runs ahead of the market's resolution at the Toronto Pearson station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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