Idaho’s entrenched Republican dominance, including long-standing control of the governorship since 1995 and a sizable legislative majority, underpins the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little’s bid for a third term faces a crowded primary on May 19 featuring several challengers focused on taxes and party direction, yet forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning. A divisive primary outcome, major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm surge boosting Democratic turnout represent the primary pathways that could realistically narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIdaho Governor Election Winner
Idaho Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
3%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$3,750 KL.
94%
Democrat
$3,435 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican dominance, including long-standing control of the governorship since 1995 and a sizable legislative majority, underpins the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little’s bid for a third term faces a crowded primary on May 19 featuring several challengers focused on taxes and party direction, yet forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning. A divisive primary outcome, major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm surge boosting Democratic turnout represent the primary pathways that could realistically narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,185Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho’s entrenched Republican dominance, including long-standing control of the governorship since 1995 and a sizable legislative majority, underpins the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little’s bid for a third term faces a crowded primary on May 19 featuring several challengers focused on taxes and party direction, yet forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning. A divisive primary outcome, major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm surge boosting Democratic turnout represent the primary pathways that could realistically narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Idaho gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$7,185Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho’s entrenched Republican dominance, including long-standing control of the governorship since 1995 and a sizable legislative majority, underpins the market’s strong consensus for a Republican victor in the November 2026 election. Incumbent Brad Little’s bid for a third term faces a crowded primary on May 19 featuring several challengers focused on taxes and party direction, yet forecasters continue to rate the general election Solid Republican regardless of nominee. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of recent polling shifts reinforce this positioning. A divisive primary outcome, major scandal affecting the eventual nominee, or an unexpected national midterm surge boosting Democratic turnout represent the primary pathways that could realistically narrow the margin in this reliably conservative state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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