Israeli and U.S. forces initiated a series of strikes against Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, marking the start of the ongoing 2026 Iran war and focusing initially on missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear infrastructure. Subsequent developments include Israeli shifts toward economic targets such as gas fields and steel facilities, alongside reports of Pentagon planning for limited ground operations involving special forces or conventional units to seize or secure highly enriched uranium stockpiles at sites like Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. These preparations, discussed in recent weeks, fall short of full-scale invasion and occur amid a fragile ceasefire that ended in March, with renewed hostilities potentially resuming as early as next week. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any Israeli ground presence will receive official confirmation before key resolution deadlines, influenced by diplomatic talks, Iranian defensive measures, and risks of broader escalation involving the IRGC.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHoạt động trên bộ của Israel ở Iran được xác nhận bởi...?
$1,213,214 KL.
31 tháng 5
8%
$1,213,214 KL.
31 tháng 5
8%
A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Israeli military personnel operated on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as the June 25, 2025, statement by IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir confirmed that Israeli commando forces operated covertly on the ground inside Iran during the 12-day war.
Confirmations referring only to non-military Israeli intelligence activity, including operations by the Mossad or Shin Bet, as well as airstrikes, cyberattacks, standoff weapons, remote sabotage, or actions by proxies or third parties without Israeli military presence, will not alone qualify.
Incidents that would not alone suffice include the November 2025 Mossad statement indicating its agents were present during protests in Iran, or the July 31, 2024, assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, widely attributed to Mossad agents.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the Israeli military; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Mar 31, 2026, 1:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Israeli military personnel operated on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as the June 25, 2025, statement by IDF Chief of Staff Lt.-Gen. Eyal Zamir confirmed that Israeli commando forces operated covertly on the ground inside Iran during the 12-day war.
Confirmations referring only to non-military Israeli intelligence activity, including operations by the Mossad or Shin Bet, as well as airstrikes, cyberattacks, standoff weapons, remote sabotage, or actions by proxies or third parties without Israeli military presence, will not alone qualify.
Incidents that would not alone suffice include the November 2025 Mossad statement indicating its agents were present during protests in Iran, or the July 31, 2024, assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, widely attributed to Mossad agents.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the Israeli military; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli and U.S. forces initiated a series of strikes against Iranian targets beginning February 28, 2026, marking the start of the ongoing 2026 Iran war and focusing initially on missile sites, air defenses, and nuclear infrastructure. Subsequent developments include Israeli shifts toward economic targets such as gas fields and steel facilities, alongside reports of Pentagon planning for limited ground operations involving special forces or conventional units to seize or secure highly enriched uranium stockpiles at sites like Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. These preparations, discussed in recent weeks, fall short of full-scale invasion and occur amid a fragile ceasefire that ended in March, with renewed hostilities potentially resuming as early as next week. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether any Israeli ground presence will receive official confirmation before key resolution deadlines, influenced by diplomatic talks, Iranian defensive measures, and risks of broader escalation involving the IRGC.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp