Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran remain stalled after the April 2026 ceasefire that ended weeks of direct military exchanges. Key issues include restrictions on Iran’s nuclear enrichment, limits on its ballistic missile program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting U.S. sanctions, and halting Iranian support for regional proxies. Pakistan continues to mediate proposals, yet recent exchanges have produced mutual rejections and fresh Iranian demands that have left the fragile ceasefire under strain. Israel maintains strict conditions for any lasting agreement, including verifiable dismantlement of enrichment infrastructure and curbs on missile development. These unresolved diplomatic and security disputes continue to shape trader assessments of the timeline for a permanent peace accord.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
$936,934 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
3%
June 30
13%
$936,934 KL.
May 31
$281,744 KL.
3%
June 30
$340,574 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran remain stalled after the April 2026 ceasefire that ended weeks of direct military exchanges. Key issues include restrictions on Iran’s nuclear enrichment, limits on its ballistic missile program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting U.S. sanctions, and halting Iranian support for regional proxies. Pakistan continues to mediate proposals, yet recent exchanges have produced mutual rejections and fresh Iranian demands that have left the fragile ceasefire under strain. Israel maintains strict conditions for any lasting agreement, including verifiable dismantlement of enrichment infrastructure and curbs on missile development. These unresolved diplomatic and security disputes continue to shape trader assessments of the timeline for a permanent peace accord.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$936,934Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran remain stalled after the April 2026 ceasefire that ended weeks of direct military exchanges. Key issues include restrictions on Iran’s nuclear enrichment, limits on its ballistic missile program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting U.S. sanctions, and halting Iranian support for regional proxies. Pakistan continues to mediate proposals, yet recent exchanges have produced mutual rejections and fresh Iranian demands that have left the fragile ceasefire under strain. Israel maintains strict conditions for any lasting agreement, including verifiable dismantlement of enrichment infrastructure and curbs on missile development. These unresolved diplomatic and security disputes continue to shape trader assessments of the timeline for a permanent peace accord.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Iran agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of a previously announced ceasefire agreement), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Iran in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$936,934Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran remain stalled after the April 2026 ceasefire that ended weeks of direct military exchanges. Key issues include restrictions on Iran’s nuclear enrichment, limits on its ballistic missile program, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, lifting U.S. sanctions, and halting Iranian support for regional proxies. Pakistan continues to mediate proposals, yet recent exchanges have produced mutual rejections and fresh Iranian demands that have left the fragile ceasefire under strain. Israel maintains strict conditions for any lasting agreement, including verifiable dismantlement of enrichment infrastructure and curbs on missile development. These unresolved diplomatic and security disputes continue to shape trader assessments of the timeline for a permanent peace accord.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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