Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have included repeated airstrikes on Tyre and broad evacuation orders, yet ground forces have not entered the Tyre municipality itself. Trader pricing on the August 31 resolution reflects this pattern, with Yes shares trading near 5 cents amid ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on conditional ceasefires, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent incidents, including the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers and subsequent strikes, have prompted limited retaliatory action without expanding ground operations northward into Tyre. Diplomatic momentum and the absence of a declared push to seize the coastal city continue to anchor low implied probabilities, though any breakdown in negotiations or intensified Hezbollah activity could alter positioning before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsraeli forces enter Tyre by...?
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?
$100,369 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
4%
$100,369 KL.
August 31
$19,574 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have included repeated airstrikes on Tyre and broad evacuation orders, yet ground forces have not entered the Tyre municipality itself. Trader pricing on the August 31 resolution reflects this pattern, with Yes shares trading near 5 cents amid ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on conditional ceasefires, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent incidents, including the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers and subsequent strikes, have prompted limited retaliatory action without expanding ground operations northward into Tyre. Diplomatic momentum and the absence of a declared push to seize the coastal city continue to anchor low implied probabilities, though any breakdown in negotiations or intensified Hezbollah activity could alter positioning before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Thị trường mở: Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$100,369Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have included repeated airstrikes on Tyre and broad evacuation orders, yet ground forces have not entered the Tyre municipality itself. Trader pricing on the August 31 resolution reflects this pattern, with Yes shares trading near 5 cents amid ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on conditional ceasefires, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent incidents, including the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers and subsequent strikes, have prompted limited retaliatory action without expanding ground operations northward into Tyre. Diplomatic momentum and the absence of a declared push to seize the coastal city continue to anchor low implied probabilities, though any breakdown in negotiations or intensified Hezbollah activity could alter positioning before month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Tyre in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Tyre will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Khối lượng
$100,369Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 31, 2026, 1:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli military operations in southern Lebanon since the March 2026 escalation with Hezbollah have included repeated airstrikes on Tyre and broad evacuation orders, yet ground forces have not entered the Tyre municipality itself. Trader pricing on the August 31 resolution reflects this pattern, with Yes shares trading near 5 cents amid ongoing U.S.-mediated talks in Rome focused on conditional ceasefires, phased withdrawals, and Hezbollah disarmament. Recent incidents, including the August 5 killing of two Israeli soldiers and subsequent strikes, have prompted limited retaliatory action without expanding ground operations northward into Tyre. Diplomatic momentum and the absence of a declared push to seize the coastal city continue to anchor low implied probabilities, though any breakdown in negotiations or intensified Hezbollah activity could alter positioning before month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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