Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 21?
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
20°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
17%
18°C
26%
19°C
18%
20°C
34%
21°C
34%
22°C
34%
23°C
35%
24°C
55%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 35%
21°C 34%
22°C 34%
20°C 34%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 21, 2026
17°C or below
$76 KL.
17%
18°C
$56 KL.
26%
19°C
$56 KL.
18%
20°C
$50 KL.
34%
21°C
$0 KL.
34%
22°C
$0 KL.
34%
23°C
$0 KL.
35%
24°C
$20 KL.
55%
25°C
$25 KL.
<1%
26°C
$95 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$95 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$472Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$472Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and national meteorological services indicate Chengdu's overnight low on August 21 will likely fall between 22–24°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity in the Sichuan basin, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with possible showers. These conditions suppress typical diurnal temperature drops, aligning with August climatology where average minimums hover near 22°C. Trader sentiment favors 24°C (56.5% implied probability) as the modal outcome, with probabilities declining sharply below 21°C or above 25°C, reflecting consensus on model guidance and minimal expected variability from steering winds or frontal systems. Updated runs over the next 24 hours could refine this range before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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