Persistent late-August heat across Chongqing, driven by subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity, positions trader consensus toward a minimum temperature of 32°C or higher (43% implied probability). Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models project overnight lows of 23–28°C under typical conditions, yet recent model runs indicate minimal nocturnal cooling from urban heat retention and lack of frontal passages or significant rainfall. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C, with heatwave persistence this year elevating the chance of record or near-record minima. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
32°C or higher 89%
23°C 48%
24°C 45%
27°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
5%
23°C
48%
24°C
45%
25°C
23%
26°C
25%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
89%
32°C or higher 89%
23°C 48%
24°C 45%
27°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$145 KL.
5%
23°C
$15 KL.
48%
24°C
$265 KL.
45%
25°C
$0 KL.
23%
26°C
$0 KL.
25%
27°C
$0 KL.
27%
28°C
$0 KL.
26%
29°C
$0 KL.
27%
30°C
$85 KL.
1%
31°C
$0 KL.
1%
32°C or higher
$145 KL.
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-August heat across Chongqing, driven by subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity, positions trader consensus toward a minimum temperature of 32°C or higher (43% implied probability). Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models project overnight lows of 23–28°C under typical conditions, yet recent model runs indicate minimal nocturnal cooling from urban heat retention and lack of frontal passages or significant rainfall. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C, with heatwave persistence this year elevating the chance of record or near-record minima. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$655Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent late-August heat across Chongqing, driven by subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity, positions trader consensus toward a minimum temperature of 32°C or higher (43% implied probability). Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models project overnight lows of 23–28°C under typical conditions, yet recent model runs indicate minimal nocturnal cooling from urban heat retention and lack of frontal passages or significant rainfall. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C, with heatwave persistence this year elevating the chance of record or near-record minima. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$655Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent late-August heat across Chongqing, driven by subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity, positions trader consensus toward a minimum temperature of 32°C or higher (43% implied probability). Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and regional models project overnight lows of 23–28°C under typical conditions, yet recent model runs indicate minimal nocturnal cooling from urban heat retention and lack of frontal passages or significant rainfall. Historical August climatology shows average lows near 26°C, with heatwave persistence this year elevating the chance of record or near-record minima. Upcoming China Meteorological Administration updates and refined ECMWF/GFS runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp