Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 3?
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
45%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
50%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
9%
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 3, 2026
8°C or below
$0 KL.
45%
9°C
$0 KL.
27%
10°C
$0 KL.
27%
11°C
$0 KL.
27%
12°C
$0 KL.
27%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C
$4 KL.
24%
15°C
$5 KL.
50%
16°C
$5 KL.
8%
17°C
$5 KL.
7%
18°C or higher
$5 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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