Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 18?
Lowest temperature in London on September 18?
12°C 59%
11°C 26%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
3%
10°C
3%
11°C
26%
12°C
59%
13°C
16%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
12°C 59%
11°C 26%
13°C 16%
8°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 18, 2026
6°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
7°C
$0 KL.
2%
8°C
$0 KL.
3%
9°C
$0 KL.
3%
10°C
$29 KL.
3%
11°C
$1,322 KL.
26%
12°C
$1,646 KL.
59%
13°C
$390 KL.
16%
14°C
$0 KL.
3%
15°C
$0 KL.
2%
16°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,386Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,386Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ensemble guidance points to a minimum temperature of 11–12 °C in London on September 18, driven by overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds within a mild maritime air mass. Model consensus shows early-morning readings bottoming near 11 °C before daytime warming to around 21 °C, consistent with typical mid-September climatology and the absence of strong high pressure or cold advection. Traders have priced 12 °C at 57 % and 11 °C at 25.5 % implied probability because recent model runs have remained stable, with only minor spread in boundary-layer forecasts. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and official observations tomorrow will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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