Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 19 around 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph and limited radiative cooling overnight. This consensus, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that moderates temperatures above seasonal averages, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C. Model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, while historical September baselines for the region place typical overnight minima near 12–14°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 19?
Lowest temperature in London on September 19?
17°C 44%
16°C 31%
18°C 22%
14°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
6%
16°C
31%
17°C
44%
18°C
22%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 44%
16°C 31%
18°C 22%
14°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
13°C
$0 KL.
3%
14°C
$0 KL.
6%
15°C
$110 KL.
6%
16°C
$1,395 KL.
31%
17°C
$646 KL.
44%
18°C
$470 KL.
22%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
2%
21°C
$0 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 19 around 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph and limited radiative cooling overnight. This consensus, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that moderates temperatures above seasonal averages, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C. Model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, while historical September baselines for the region place typical overnight minima near 12–14°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,621Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 19 around 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph and limited radiative cooling overnight. This consensus, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that moderates temperatures above seasonal averages, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C. Model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, while historical September baselines for the region place typical overnight minima near 12–14°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,621Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature in London on September 19 around 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with southwesterly winds near 15–17 mph and limited radiative cooling overnight. This consensus, driven by a building high-pressure ridge that moderates temperatures above seasonal averages, underpins the market's leading implied probabilities for 17°C and 16°C. Model runs show modest uncertainty from variable cloud cover and wind patterns that could nudge the low slightly higher or lower, while historical September baselines for the region place typical overnight minima near 12–14°C. Updated guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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