Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 14. Mid-June climatology features average overnight minima near 77°F at Miami International Airport, but recent observations show elevated readings, including an 81°F minimum on June 12 amid a classic early-summer pattern of weak pressure gradients and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling. Forecast guidance through mid-month points to continued upper-70s to low-80s lows with no significant frontal passages or drier air masses expected to arrive in the next 24-48 hours. This setup produces the narrow distribution favoring the 80-81°F bin at 82.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain improbable without an atypical cool surge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on June 14?
80-81°F 89%
78-79°F 11%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$6,104 KL.
$6,104 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
83%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 89%
78-79°F 11%
74-75°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$6,104 KL.
$6,104 KL.
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
83%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida are anchoring trader consensus around an 80-81°F low for Miami on June 14. Mid-June climatology features average overnight minima near 77°F at Miami International Airport, but recent observations show elevated readings, including an 81°F minimum on June 12 amid a classic early-summer pattern of weak pressure gradients and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling. Forecast guidance through mid-month points to continued upper-70s to low-80s lows with no significant frontal passages or drier air masses expected to arrive in the next 24-48 hours. This setup produces the narrow distribution favoring the 80-81°F bin at 82.5% implied probability, while lower ranges remain improbable without an atypical cool surge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp