**Forecast models and current observations position 17°C as the dominant outcome for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies overnight support moderate radiative cooling, with early-morning readings from multiple sources clustering around 17–19°C. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near 18°C before sunrise before climbing to daytime highs of 25–26°C. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September in Milan (historical average lows near 16°C), where clear or partly cloudy nights without significant cloud cover or frontal systems allow the surface to cool efficiently but not to extremes. Recent model runs (including GFS-based guidance) have converged on this narrow range, with minimal spread between ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 16°C or below. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational adjustments from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 13?
12°C 7%
16°C 6%
15°C 2%
14°C 1.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
70%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
12°C 7%
16°C 6%
15°C 2%
14°C 1.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
11°C or below
$75 KL.
1%
12°C
$30 KL.
7%
13°C
$152 KL.
1%
14°C
$150 KL.
1%
15°C
$102 KL.
2%
16°C
$94 KL.
6%
17°C
$291 KL.
70%
18°C
$297 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,699 KL.
<1%
20°C
$15 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$15 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 17°C as the dominant outcome for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies overnight support moderate radiative cooling, with early-morning readings from multiple sources clustering around 17–19°C. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near 18°C before sunrise before climbing to daytime highs of 25–26°C.
This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September in Milan (historical average lows near 16°C), where clear or partly cloudy nights without significant cloud cover or frontal systems allow the surface to cool efficiently but not to extremes. Recent model runs (including GFS-based guidance) have converged on this narrow range, with minimal spread between ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 16°C or below. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational adjustments from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,920Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current observations position 17°C as the dominant outcome for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies overnight support moderate radiative cooling, with early-morning readings from multiple sources clustering around 17–19°C. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near 18°C before sunrise before climbing to daytime highs of 25–26°C.
This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September in Milan (historical average lows near 16°C), where clear or partly cloudy nights without significant cloud cover or frontal systems allow the surface to cool efficiently but not to extremes. Recent model runs (including GFS-based guidance) have converged on this narrow range, with minimal spread between ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 16°C or below. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational adjustments from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,920Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current observations position 17°C as the dominant outcome for Milan's lowest temperature on September 13, 2026, with market-implied odds of 67%.** Stable high-pressure conditions, light easterly to northeasterly winds, and partly cloudy skies overnight support moderate radiative cooling, with early-morning readings from multiple sources clustering around 17–19°C. Hourly data show temperatures bottoming near 18°C before sunrise before climbing to daytime highs of 25–26°C. This aligns with climatological expectations for mid-September in Milan (historical average lows near 16°C), where clear or partly cloudy nights without significant cloud cover or frontal systems allow the surface to cool efficiently but not to extremes. Recent model runs (including GFS-based guidance) have converged on this narrow range, with minimal spread between ensembles, reinforcing trader consensus around 17°C while assigning lower probabilities to 16°C or below. As the day progresses toward resolution, any final observational adjustments from official stations will determine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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