Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period for Munich on September 15, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 8 °C, 9 °C, and 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact dew-point depression, and any late-model adjustments to high-pressure ridging that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10 °C, providing context for why even modest deviations in steering flow or cloud timing can shift outcomes across several degrees and sustain balanced market-implied odds until final observations resolve the night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
4°C or below 50%
14°C or higher 50%
13°C 37%
8°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
50%
5°C
9%
6°C
11%
7°C
25%
8°C
28%
9°C
27%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
19%
13°C
37%
14°C or higher
50%
4°C or below 50%
14°C or higher 50%
13°C 37%
8°C 28%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
$10 KL.
50%
5°C
$43 KL.
9%
6°C
$12 KL.
11%
7°C
$0 KL.
25%
8°C
$9 KL.
28%
9°C
$0 KL.
27%
10°C
$0 KL.
20%
11°C
$0 KL.
20%
12°C
$0 KL.
19%
13°C
$10 KL.
37%
14°C or higher
$10 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period for Munich on September 15, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 8 °C, 9 °C, and 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact dew-point depression, and any late-model adjustments to high-pressure ridging that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10 °C, providing context for why even modest deviations in steering flow or cloud timing can shift outcomes across several degrees and sustain balanced market-implied odds until final observations resolve the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period for Munich on September 15, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 8 °C, 9 °C, and 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact dew-point depression, and any late-model adjustments to high-pressure ridging that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10 °C, providing context for why even modest deviations in steering flow or cloud timing can shift outcomes across several degrees and sustain balanced market-implied odds until final observations resolve the night.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight period for Munich on September 15, with minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities for 8 °C, 9 °C, and 4 °C or below versus 14 °C or higher reflects remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact dew-point depression, and any late-model adjustments to high-pressure ridging that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops. Historical September climatology shows average lows near 10 °C, providing context for why even modest deviations in steering flow or cloud timing can shift outcomes across several degrees and sustain balanced market-implied odds until final observations resolve the night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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