Current market odds reflect trader assessment of National Weather Service observations and model guidance for New York City on September 13, with the leading 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins capturing the bulk of probability. Mid-September climatology for the region features daytime highs near 75°F and overnight lows typically in the mid-60s, but recent atmospheric conditions—including a persistent warm air mass and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies—support minimum readings in the upper 60s to low 70s at official stations such as Central Park. Urban heat island effects and light southerly flow further moderate temperature drops, while ensemble forecasts show narrow spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum reported by NOAA, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 13?
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 28%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 24%
66-67°F 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
63°F or below
$729 KL.
1%
64-65°F
$181 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$79 KL.
10%
68-69°F
$751 KL.
25%
70-71°F
$380 KL.
27%
72-73°F
$1,747 KL.
24%
74-75°F
$428 KL.
6%
76-77°F
$99 KL.
1%
78-79°F
$424 KL.
1%
80-81°F
$112 KL.
1%
82°F or higher
$112 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current market odds reflect trader assessment of National Weather Service observations and model guidance for New York City on September 13, with the leading 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins capturing the bulk of probability. Mid-September climatology for the region features daytime highs near 75°F and overnight lows typically in the mid-60s, but recent atmospheric conditions—including a persistent warm air mass and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies—support minimum readings in the upper 60s to low 70s at official stations such as Central Park. Urban heat island effects and light southerly flow further moderate temperature drops, while ensemble forecasts show narrow spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum reported by NOAA, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,990Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current market odds reflect trader assessment of National Weather Service observations and model guidance for New York City on September 13, with the leading 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins capturing the bulk of probability. Mid-September climatology for the region features daytime highs near 75°F and overnight lows typically in the mid-60s, but recent atmospheric conditions—including a persistent warm air mass and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies—support minimum readings in the upper 60s to low 70s at official stations such as Central Park. Urban heat island effects and light southerly flow further moderate temperature drops, while ensemble forecasts show narrow spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum reported by NOAA, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$4,990Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current market odds reflect trader assessment of National Weather Service observations and model guidance for New York City on September 13, with the leading 70-71°F and 72-73°F bins capturing the bulk of probability. Mid-September climatology for the region features daytime highs near 75°F and overnight lows typically in the mid-60s, but recent atmospheric conditions—including a persistent warm air mass and limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies—support minimum readings in the upper 60s to low 70s at official stations such as Central Park. Urban heat island effects and light southerly flow further moderate temperature drops, while ensemble forecasts show narrow spread around these values. Resolution hinges on the verified daily minimum reported by NOAA, with final data expected shortly after midnight local time.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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