Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 20?
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
6%
10°C
6%
11°C
13%
12°C
24%
13°C
21%
14°C
15%
15°C
5%
16°C or higher
4%
12°C 24%
13°C 21%
11°C 18%
14°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
May 20, 2026
6°C or below
$126 KL.
1%
7°C
$160 KL.
1%
8°C
$14 KL.
5%
9°C
$30 KL.
6%
10°C
$24 KL.
6%
11°C
$25 KL.
13%
12°C
$25 KL.
24%
13°C
$14 KL.
21%
14°C
$14 KL.
15%
15°C
$14 KL.
5%
16°C or higher
$99 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$546Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a minimum temperature in Paris on May 20 centered near 12–13 °C, with the narrow spread between these outcomes reflecting uncertainty in overnight cloud cover and boundary-layer winds. Clearer skies would enhance nocturnal radiative cooling and favor the lower end of the range, while increased moisture and light southerly flow could limit the drop to around 13 °C. Historical mid-May climatology shows average overnight lows near 9–10 °C, but current upper-level ridging is supporting milder conditions overall. Updated high-resolution runs expected from Météo-France in the next 48 hours will likely narrow the probabilities further as the event approaches resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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