Recent meteorological data from official monitoring stations show Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing at 18°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that has limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Multiple ensemble forecast models align on this value with little spread, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the Kanto region where daily lows average 14–20°C. Market positioning reflects this convergence of verified observations and short-range model consensus, leaving scant room for deviation before resolution. A shift would require an unforecasted cold advection event or post-analysis adjustment in official records, both considered highly improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 KL.
$15,553 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.6%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$15,553 KL.
$15,553 KL.
May 17, 2026
14°C or below
$1,131 KL.
<1%
15°C
$1,394 KL.
<1%
16°C
$823 KL.
<1%
17°C
$1,154 KL.
<1%
18°C
$3,467 KL.
100%
19°C
$1,778 KL.
<1%
20°C
$3,776 KL.
<1%
21°C
$564 KL.
<1%
22°C
$382 KL.
<1%
23°C
$688 KL.
<1%
24°C or higher
$396 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from official monitoring stations show Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing at 18°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that has limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Multiple ensemble forecast models align on this value with little spread, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the Kanto region where daily lows average 14–20°C. Market positioning reflects this convergence of verified observations and short-range model consensus, leaving scant room for deviation before resolution. A shift would require an unforecasted cold advection event or post-analysis adjustment in official records, both considered highly improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Khối lượng
$15,553Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data from official monitoring stations show Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing at 18°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that has limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Multiple ensemble forecast models align on this value with little spread, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the Kanto region where daily lows average 14–20°C. Market positioning reflects this convergence of verified observations and short-range model consensus, leaving scant room for deviation before resolution. A shift would require an unforecasted cold advection event or post-analysis adjustment in official records, both considered highly improbable given current atmospheric stability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$15,553Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent meteorological data from official monitoring stations show Tokyo's overnight minimum temperature stabilizing at 18°C, supported by a persistent high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that has limited radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. Multiple ensemble forecast models align on this value with little spread, consistent with typical mid-May climatology for the Kanto region where daily lows average 14–20°C. Market positioning reflects this convergence of verified observations and short-range model consensus, leaving scant room for deviation before resolution. A shift would require an unforecasted cold advection event or post-analysis adjustment in official records, both considered highly improbable given current atmospheric stability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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