Recent forecast models indicate Warsaw will experience clear skies and light westerly winds overnight on September 1–2, promoting radiative cooling under a building high-pressure system that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14 °C. This setup aligns with historical early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 12 °C, though slight variations in dew-point depression or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 11–14 °C outcomes, reflecting consensus across numerical weather prediction ensembles while acknowledging residual uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes ahead of the final observational verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 2?
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
9°C or below
14%
10°C
84%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
32%
16°C
100%
17°C
14%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
11°C 100%
12°C 100%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
9°C or below
14%
10°C
84%
11°C
100%
12°C
100%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
32%
16°C
100%
17°C
14%
18°C
100%
19°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models indicate Warsaw will experience clear skies and light westerly winds overnight on September 1–2, promoting radiative cooling under a building high-pressure system that favors minimum temperatures near 11–14 °C. This setup aligns with historical early-September climatology, where average lows hover around 12 °C, though slight variations in dew-point depression or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2 °C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 11–14 °C outcomes, reflecting consensus across numerical weather prediction ensembles while acknowledging residual uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes ahead of the final observational verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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