Maine's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests positions the party for an 88.5% implied probability of capturing the governorship in November 2026. Incumbent Democratic leadership under Janet Mills has maintained broad support, while a competitive primary field of five candidates—including Shenna Bellows, Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, Nirav Shah, and Angus King III—signals robust party infrastructure ahead of the June 9 primary. Republican contenders remain fragmented after their own primary polling and straw surveys, with no single frontrunner consolidating support. Recent candidate debates and early general-election advertising by Democratic-aligned groups have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, consistent with historical base rates for the office in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaine Governor Election Winner
Maine Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
89%
Republican
13%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$5,106 KL.
89%
Republican
$4,080 KL.
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests positions the party for an 88.5% implied probability of capturing the governorship in November 2026. Incumbent Democratic leadership under Janet Mills has maintained broad support, while a competitive primary field of five candidates—including Shenna Bellows, Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, Nirav Shah, and Angus King III—signals robust party infrastructure ahead of the June 9 primary. Republican contenders remain fragmented after their own primary polling and straw surveys, with no single frontrunner consolidating support. Recent candidate debates and early general-election advertising by Democratic-aligned groups have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, consistent with historical base rates for the office in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$9,186Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests positions the party for an 88.5% implied probability of capturing the governorship in November 2026. Incumbent Democratic leadership under Janet Mills has maintained broad support, while a competitive primary field of five candidates—including Shenna Bellows, Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, Nirav Shah, and Angus King III—signals robust party infrastructure ahead of the June 9 primary. Republican contenders remain fragmented after their own primary polling and straw surveys, with no single frontrunner consolidating support. Recent candidate debates and early general-election advertising by Democratic-aligned groups have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, consistent with historical base rates for the office in the state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$9,186Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine's strong Democratic lean in statewide contests positions the party for an 88.5% implied probability of capturing the governorship in November 2026. Incumbent Democratic leadership under Janet Mills has maintained broad support, while a competitive primary field of five candidates—including Shenna Bellows, Troy Jackson, Hannah Pingree, Nirav Shah, and Angus King III—signals robust party infrastructure ahead of the June 9 primary. Republican contenders remain fragmented after their own primary polling and straw surveys, with no single frontrunner consolidating support. Recent candidate debates and early general-election advertising by Democratic-aligned groups have reinforced trader expectations of continuity, consistent with historical base rates for the office in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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