**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDemocrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 2.4%
$188,080 KL.
$188,080 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
84%
Republican
15%
Independent
2%
Democrat 84%
Republican 15%
Independent 2.4%
$188,080 KL.
$188,080 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$43,328 KL.
84%
Republican
$144,428 KL.
15%
Independent
$323 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary.
On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$188,080Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary.
On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$188,080Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democrat Jocelyn Benson leads the Michigan governor race at 83% implied probability following the withdrawal of independent candidate Mike Duggan in May 2026.** The open seat, created by term-limited Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, favors the Democratic nominee in a state with recent Democratic success in statewide contests. Benson, the sitting secretary of state, dominates early Democratic primary polling with 60%+ support ahead of the August 4 primary. On the Republican side, U.S. Representative John James and other contenders including Mike Cox, Perry Johnson, and Aric Nesbitt remain in a competitive primary without a clear frontrunner. Duggan’s exit consolidated voter support and shifted race ratings toward Lean Democrat or Toss-up from forecasters, explaining the wide gap in current trader consensus. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts from primary results, polling trends, or turnout patterns in key regions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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