The open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, following term limits on Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, features Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in the August Democratic primary. Recent polling shows her dominating that contest while the Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates including Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson. Former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan’s independent candidacy has introduced additional vote-splitting dynamics in the general election. Current trader consensus assigns a 70 percent probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Benson’s primary strength, Michigan’s recent pattern of electing Democrats to statewide offices, and head-to-head polling leads over Republican and independent opponents ahead of the November vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Governor Election Winner
Democrat 70%
Republican 17%
Independent 15%
$180,991 KL.
$180,991 KL.

Democrat
70%

Republican
17%

Independent
15%
Democrat 70%
Republican 17%
Independent 15%
$180,991 KL.
$180,991 KL.

Democrat
70%

Republican
17%

Independent
15%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open 2026 Michigan gubernatorial race, following term limits on Democratic incumbent Gretchen Whitmer, features Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson as the clear frontrunner in the August Democratic primary. Recent polling shows her dominating that contest while the Republican primary remains fragmented among candidates including Representative John James and businessman Perry Johnson. Former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan’s independent candidacy has introduced additional vote-splitting dynamics in the general election. Current trader consensus assigns a 70 percent probability to a Democratic winner, reflecting Benson’s primary strength, Michigan’s recent pattern of electing Democrats to statewide offices, and head-to-head polling leads over Republican and independent opponents ahead of the November vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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