Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$24,306 KL.
$24,306 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
84%
Latonya Reeves
15%
$24,306 KL.
$24,306 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,096 KL.
84%
Latonya Reeves
$4,210 KL.
15%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,306Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$24,306Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar holds a commanding 84% implied probability on Polymarket as the MN-05 Democratic primary winner on August 11, 2026, bolstered by her recent DFL endorsement by acclamation at the district convention earlier this week—the first time she has secured it without contest. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DNC member and labor organizer who announced her bid last fall calling for change, garnered 14% after withdrawing her name from endorsement consideration during her speech but pledging to press on to the primary. Trader consensus reflects Omar's incumbency advantage, strong party machinery in this deep-blue Minneapolis-based district, and historical resilience in past primaries, though turnout among key voting blocs could influence the closely watched matchup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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