Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in Seattle in June?
Precipitation in Seattle in June?
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
1.5-2"
26%
>3"
27%
1-1.5"
32%
2-2.5"
39%
2.5-3"
26%
<0.5"
15%
0.5-1"
<1%
1.5-2" 49%
>3" 44%
1-1.5" 43%
2-2.5" 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
1.5-2"
$81 KL.
26%
>3"
$59 KL.
27%
1-1.5"
$246 KL.
32%
2-2.5"
$55 KL.
39%
2.5-3"
$54 KL.
26%
<0.5"
$399 KL.
15%
0.5-1"
$2,651 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,544Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between June 1 and June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for June 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of June 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,544Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 27, 2026, 4:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current accumulation stands near 1.2 inches through mid-June at Seattle-Tacoma Airport, tracking slightly below the 1.45-inch monthly normal amid an early-month pattern of limited measurable rain. NOAA and regional outlooks favor above-normal temperatures and below-normal precipitation for the remainder of June, driven by strengthening high pressure, a weakening storm track, and the early stages of an El Niño transition that typically suppresses Pacific Northwest rainfall. This setup leaves the second half vulnerable to only isolated showers or dry conditions, creating tight differentiation among the 1–2.5-inch bins. Model consensus shows modest upside risk from occasional weak fronts but low likelihood of exceeding 3 inches, aligning with the market’s clustered probabilities around 1.5–2.5 inches total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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