The open SC-01 House seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 68%, reflecting the district's R+6 Cook PVI and historical GOP margins (58%-42% in 2024). Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican despite the vacancy, with strong recent GOP primary signals including Mark Smith's 34% win in an April forum straw poll and fundraising leads by Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, and Smith ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Democrats, targeted by the DCCC as competitive, face a fragmented eight-candidate primary lacking a clear frontrunner, tempering odds amid the battleground coastal district's Republican base.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$36,515 KL.
$36,515 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
68%
Democratic Party
30%
$36,515 KL.
$36,515 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,605 KL.
68%
Democratic Party
$29,910 KL.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open SC-01 House seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 68%, reflecting the district's R+6 Cook PVI and historical GOP margins (58%-42% in 2024). Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican despite the vacancy, with strong recent GOP primary signals including Mark Smith's 34% win in an April forum straw poll and fundraising leads by Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, and Smith ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Democrats, targeted by the DCCC as competitive, face a fragmented eight-candidate primary lacking a clear frontrunner, tempering odds amid the battleground coastal district's Republican base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,515Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open SC-01 House seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 68%, reflecting the district's R+6 Cook PVI and historical GOP margins (58%-42% in 2024). Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican despite the vacancy, with strong recent GOP primary signals including Mark Smith's 34% win in an April forum straw poll and fundraising leads by Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, and Smith ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Democrats, targeted by the DCCC as competitive, face a fragmented eight-candidate primary lacking a clear frontrunner, tempering odds amid the battleground coastal district's Republican base.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$36,515Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open SC-01 House seat, vacated by Rep. Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid, drives trader consensus toward Republicans at 68%, reflecting the district's R+6 Cook PVI and historical GOP margins (58%-42% in 2024). Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican despite the vacancy, with strong recent GOP primary signals including Mark Smith's 34% win in an April forum straw poll and fundraising leads by Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, Sam McCown, Alex Pelbath, and Smith ahead of the June 9 primary and potential June 23 runoff. Democrats, targeted by the DCCC as competitive, face a fragmented eight-candidate primary lacking a clear frontrunner, tempering odds amid the battleground coastal district's Republican base.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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