The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$42,856 KL.
$42,856 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
25%
$42,856 KL.
$42,856 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,259 KL.
75%
Democratic Party
$32,596 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,856Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$42,856Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, vacated by Republican incumbent Nancy Mace’s gubernatorial bid, has produced Republican primary frontrunners Jenny Costa Honeycutt and Mark Smith advancing to a June 23 runoff after the June 9 vote. The district’s Republican tilt—reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s 13-point 2024 margin—anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 67.5 percent implied probability. Democratic runoff contenders Nancy Lacore and Mac Deford face structural headwinds in a Lowcountry seat that has returned Republican majorities in most recent cycles despite occasional competitiveness. Early 2025 polling showed tighter hypothetical matchups, yet the district’s partisan baseline and primary field have since reinforced Republican positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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