**Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a clear edge over Democrat Nancy Lacore in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District.** The open seat, vacated after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued an unsuccessful gubernatorial bid, sits in a Republican-leaning coastal district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent double-digit GOP margins and post-2021 redistricting. Honeycutt secured the nomination in the June runoff, while Lacore, a retired Navy admiral, advanced on the Democratic side with support from House Majority PAC advertising. A July poll showed the contest within a few points, reflecting Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat and Lacore’s background, yet the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader probabilities near 70% for the Republican outcome ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 House Election Winner
$54,895 KL.
$54,895 KL.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
$54,895 KL.
$54,895 KL.
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Người giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a clear edge over Democrat Nancy Lacore in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District.** The open seat, vacated after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued an unsuccessful gubernatorial bid, sits in a Republican-leaning coastal district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+6. Multiple forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, consistent with the district’s recent double-digit GOP margins and post-2021 redistricting. Honeycutt secured the nomination in the June runoff, while Lacore, a retired Navy admiral, advanced on the Democratic side with support from House Majority PAC advertising. A July poll showed the contest within a few points, reflecting Democratic efforts to capitalize on the open seat and Lacore’s background, yet the underlying partisan composition and historical voting patterns continue to anchor trader probabilities near 70% for the Republican outcome ahead of the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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