The 98.3% market-implied probability assigned to no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the company’s continued private status and lack of formal preparations just weeks before the resolution date. Recent developments include a February 2026 tender offer that valued the payments processor at $159 billion, providing liquidity to employees and investors without triggering public-market requirements. Co-founder comments earlier in the year emphasized no immediate plans to list, while Stripe reported $1.9 trillion in payment volume for 2025 and sustained profitability. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views the near-term IPO window as closed absent an unexpected S-1 filing or sudden shift in capital-market conditions. A rapid regulatory green light or sharp improvement in IPO sentiment could still alter the outcome, though current filings and statements show no such catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNo IPO by June 30, 2026 98.3%
80–100B <1%
140B+ <1%
100–120B <1%
$168,649 KL.
$168,649 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<80B
<1%
80–100B
1%
100–120B
1%
120–140B
<1%
140B+
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
98%
No IPO by June 30, 2026 98.3%
80–100B <1%
140B+ <1%
100–120B <1%
$168,649 KL.
$168,649 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
<80B
$71,585 KL.
<1%
80–100B
$14,561 KL.
1%
100–120B
$16,230 KL.
1%
120–140B
$33,005 KL.
<1%
140B+
$14,561 KL.
1%
No IPO by June 30, 2026
$18,707 KL.
98%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 98.3% market-implied probability assigned to no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the company’s continued private status and lack of formal preparations just weeks before the resolution date. Recent developments include a February 2026 tender offer that valued the payments processor at $159 billion, providing liquidity to employees and investors without triggering public-market requirements. Co-founder comments earlier in the year emphasized no immediate plans to list, while Stripe reported $1.9 trillion in payment volume for 2025 and sustained profitability. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views the near-term IPO window as closed absent an unexpected S-1 filing or sudden shift in capital-market conditions. A rapid regulatory green light or sharp improvement in IPO sentiment could still alter the outcome, though current filings and statements show no such catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$168,649Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.The 98.3% market-implied probability assigned to no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the company’s continued private status and lack of formal preparations just weeks before the resolution date. Recent developments include a February 2026 tender offer that valued the payments processor at $159 billion, providing liquidity to employees and investors without triggering public-market requirements. Co-founder comments earlier in the year emphasized no immediate plans to list, while Stripe reported $1.9 trillion in payment volume for 2025 and sustained profitability. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views the near-term IPO window as closed absent an unexpected S-1 filing or sudden shift in capital-market conditions. A rapid regulatory green light or sharp improvement in IPO sentiment could still alter the outcome, though current filings and statements show no such catalyst.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Khối lượng
$168,649Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 98.3% market-implied probability assigned to no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026 reflects the company’s continued private status and lack of formal preparations just weeks before the resolution date. Recent developments include a February 2026 tender offer that valued the payments processor at $159 billion, providing liquidity to employees and investors without triggering public-market requirements. Co-founder comments earlier in the year emphasized no immediate plans to list, while Stripe reported $1.9 trillion in payment volume for 2025 and sustained profitability. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, views the near-term IPO window as closed absent an unexpected S-1 filing or sudden shift in capital-market conditions. A rapid regulatory green light or sharp improvement in IPO sentiment could still alter the outcome, though current filings and statements show no such catalyst.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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