President Trump’s July 2026 announcement that the United States would act as “guardian” of the Strait of Hormuz and collect a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo value triggered immediate international pushback, including opposition from the International Maritime Organization over the lack of legal basis under international law. The proposal was reversed within 24 hours, with the administration shifting emphasis to trade and investment agreements with Gulf states instead. Subsequent diplomatic activity, including Iran-Oman discussions and reports of declining vessel traffic, has produced no further U.S. action on fees. Trader consensus reflected in low probabilities for implementation by late 2026 aligns with the rapid policy reversal and absence of follow-through amid ongoing regional negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$962,375 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
December 31
7%
$962,375 KL.
August 31
$176,364 KL.
1%
December 31
$98,858 KL.
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s July 2026 announcement that the United States would act as “guardian” of the Strait of Hormuz and collect a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo value triggered immediate international pushback, including opposition from the International Maritime Organization over the lack of legal basis under international law. The proposal was reversed within 24 hours, with the administration shifting emphasis to trade and investment agreements with Gulf states instead. Subsequent diplomatic activity, including Iran-Oman discussions and reports of declining vessel traffic, has produced no further U.S. action on fees. Trader consensus reflected in low probabilities for implementation by late 2026 aligns with the rapid policy reversal and absence of follow-through amid ongoing regional negotiations.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$962,375Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump’s July 2026 announcement that the United States would act as “guardian” of the Strait of Hormuz and collect a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo value triggered immediate international pushback, including opposition from the International Maritime Organization over the lack of legal basis under international law. The proposal was reversed within 24 hours, with the administration shifting emphasis to trade and investment agreements with Gulf states instead. Subsequent diplomatic activity, including Iran-Oman discussions and reports of declining vessel traffic, has produced no further U.S. action on fees. Trader consensus reflected in low probabilities for implementation by late 2026 aligns with the rapid policy reversal and absence of follow-through amid ongoing regional negotiations.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$962,375Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s July 2026 announcement that the United States would act as “guardian” of the Strait of Hormuz and collect a 20% reimbursement fee on cargo value triggered immediate international pushback, including opposition from the International Maritime Organization over the lack of legal basis under international law. The proposal was reversed within 24 hours, with the administration shifting emphasis to trade and investment agreements with Gulf states instead. Subsequent diplomatic activity, including Iran-Oman discussions and reports of declining vessel traffic, has produced no further U.S. action on fees. Trader consensus reflected in low probabilities for implementation by late 2026 aligns with the rapid policy reversal and absence of follow-through amid ongoing regional negotiations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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