Pakistan’s role as the primary mediator in stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations, following the direct but inconclusive Islamabad talks in April, underpins the tight trader split between a no-meeting outcome by June 30 and a Pakistan venue. Recent efforts by Pakistani officials to advance proposals amid a fragile ceasefire have sustained momentum for another round in Islamabad, yet conflicting signals, canceled envoys’ travel, and the absence of confirmed dates have kept probabilities balanced. Developments such as new Iranian demands, US warnings on timelines, or successful Pakistani shuttle diplomacy could quickly shift the market, while prolonged deadlock or escalation would favor the no-meeting resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCuộc họp ngoại giao Mỹ-Iran tiếp theo sẽ diễn ra ở đâu?
Không có cuộc họp trước ngày 30 tháng 6 48.4%
Pakistan 38.9%
Khác 2.9%
Thụy Sĩ 2.8%
$6,457,075 KL.
$6,457,075 KL.
Không có cuộc họp trước ngày 30 tháng 6
48%
Pakistan
39%
Khác
3%
Thụy Sĩ
3%
Oman
2%
Qatar
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Áo
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
<1%
Ai Cập
<1%
Ý
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Khác - Trung Đông/Bắc Phi
<1%
Khác - Châu Âu
<1%
Ả Rập Xê Út
<1%
Nga
<1%
UAE
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
Không có cuộc họp trước ngày 30 tháng 6 48.4%
Pakistan 38.9%
Khác 2.9%
Thụy Sĩ 2.8%
$6,457,075 KL.
$6,457,075 KL.
Không có cuộc họp trước ngày 30 tháng 6
48%
Pakistan
39%
Khác
3%
Thụy Sĩ
3%
Oman
2%
Qatar
1%
Hoa Kỳ
1%
Áo
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
<1%
Ai Cập
<1%
Ý
<1%
Iran
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Khác - Trung Đông/Bắc Phi
<1%
Khác - Châu Âu
<1%
Ả Rập Xê Út
<1%
Nga
<1%
UAE
<1%
Kazakhstan
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan’s role as the primary mediator in stalled indirect US-Iran negotiations, following the direct but inconclusive Islamabad talks in April, underpins the tight trader split between a no-meeting outcome by June 30 and a Pakistan venue. Recent efforts by Pakistani officials to advance proposals amid a fragile ceasefire have sustained momentum for another round in Islamabad, yet conflicting signals, canceled envoys’ travel, and the absence of confirmed dates have kept probabilities balanced. Developments such as new Iranian demands, US warnings on timelines, or successful Pakistani shuttle diplomacy could quickly shift the market, while prolonged deadlock or escalation would favor the no-meeting resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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