Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since early 2025, including tariff threats on Denmark and appointment of a special envoy, produced a January 2026 framework agreement focused on expanded mineral access, updated defense cooperation, and Arctic security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sale or annexation, citing self-determination rights and strong local opposition, while NATO allies signaled that coercive measures would fracture alliance ties. With roughly four months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active purchase negotiations underway, traders assign only a 3.5 percent chance of full acquisition by year-end. Plausible shifts could still arise from an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough yielding a compact of free association or rapid territorial concession tied to broader security deals, though both remain constrained by legal, political, and alliance barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
4% khả năng
$35,278,669 KL.
$35,278,669 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Có
4% khả năng
$35,278,669 KL.
$35,278,669 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since early 2025, including tariff threats on Denmark and appointment of a special envoy, produced a January 2026 framework agreement focused on expanded mineral access, updated defense cooperation, and Arctic security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sale or annexation, citing self-determination rights and strong local opposition, while NATO allies signaled that coercive measures would fracture alliance ties. With roughly four months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active purchase negotiations underway, traders assign only a 3.5 percent chance of full acquisition by year-end. Plausible shifts could still arise from an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough yielding a compact of free association or rapid territorial concession tied to broader security deals, though both remain constrained by legal, political, and alliance barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Thị trường mở: Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,278,669Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since early 2025, including tariff threats on Denmark and appointment of a special envoy, produced a January 2026 framework agreement focused on expanded mineral access, updated defense cooperation, and Arctic security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sale or annexation, citing self-determination rights and strong local opposition, while NATO allies signaled that coercive measures would fracture alliance ties. With roughly four months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active purchase negotiations underway, traders assign only a 3.5 percent chance of full acquisition by year-end. Plausible shifts could still arise from an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough yielding a compact of free association or rapid territorial concession tied to broader security deals, though both remain constrained by legal, political, and alliance barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Khối lượng
$35,278,669Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland since early 2025, including tariff threats on Denmark and appointment of a special envoy, produced a January 2026 framework agreement focused on expanded mineral access, updated defense cooperation, and Arctic security arrangements rather than sovereignty transfer. Danish and Greenlandic officials have consistently rejected any sale or annexation, citing self-determination rights and strong local opposition, while NATO allies signaled that coercive measures would fracture alliance ties. With roughly four months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active purchase negotiations underway, traders assign only a 3.5 percent chance of full acquisition by year-end. Plausible shifts could still arise from an unforeseen diplomatic breakthrough yielding a compact of free association or rapid territorial concession tied to broader security deals, though both remain constrained by legal, political, and alliance barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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