United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent majorities in prior legislative votes. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in recent polling, reaching second place in some surveys with support in the low-to-mid teens and drawing attention as a potential seat gainer among systemic options. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail further behind amid limited shifts in voter preferences. The Central Election Commission has confirmed a three-day voting window from 18–20 September, with preparations including single-member districts and party-list allocation that favor established players. Scheduled events within the resolution window, such as final candidate approvals, remain the primary near-term influences on seat projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtĐảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Đảng nào sẽ giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử Quốc hội Nga?
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 69%
Những Người Mới (NL) 24.4%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 4.7%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 2.4%
$16,780,943 KL.
$16,780,943 KL.
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
69%
Những Người Mới (NL)
24%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
2%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) 69%
Những Người Mới (NL) 24.4%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR) 4.7%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF) 2.4%
$16,780,943 KL.
$16,780,943 KL.
Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER)
69%
Những Người Mới (NL)
24%
Đảng Dân chủ Tự do Nga (LDPR)
5%
Đảng Cộng sản Liên bang Nga (KPRF)
2%
Nước Nga Công Bằng – Vì Sự Thật (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its status as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent majorities in prior legislative votes. New People has emerged as the clearest alternative in recent polling, reaching second place in some surveys with support in the low-to-mid teens and drawing attention as a potential seat gainer among systemic options. LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties trail further behind amid limited shifts in voter preferences. The Central Election Commission has confirmed a three-day voting window from 18–20 September, with preparations including single-member districts and party-list allocation that favor established players. Scheduled events within the resolution window, such as final candidate approvals, remain the primary near-term influences on seat projections.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Liệu Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga tiếp theo không?
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
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