Republican majorities in the House, combined with the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to strip $3.3 billion in foreign military financing for Israel from the State Department appropriations bill by a 314-104 vote, have anchored trader expectations. Only 103 Democrats backed the cut while nearly all Republicans opposed it, and the underlying measure preserving aid advanced along party lines. Ongoing NDAA provisions emphasize expanded U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation and joint programs rather than new restrictions, while negotiations over a successor memorandum of understanding focus on partnership transitions rather than reductions. With the September 30 resolution window approaching and no scheduled floor action advancing restrictive legislation, the market consensus reflects limited legislative momentum for changes to current aid levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
6% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House, combined with the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to strip $3.3 billion in foreign military financing for Israel from the State Department appropriations bill by a 314-104 vote, have anchored trader expectations. Only 103 Democrats backed the cut while nearly all Republicans opposed it, and the underlying measure preserving aid advanced along party lines. Ongoing NDAA provisions emphasize expanded U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation and joint programs rather than new restrictions, while negotiations over a successor memorandum of understanding focus on partnership transitions rather than reductions. With the September 30 resolution window approaching and no scheduled floor action advancing restrictive legislation, the market consensus reflects limited legislative momentum for changes to current aid levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,957Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Republican majorities in the House, combined with the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to strip $3.3 billion in foreign military financing for Israel from the State Department appropriations bill by a 314-104 vote, have anchored trader expectations. Only 103 Democrats backed the cut while nearly all Republicans opposed it, and the underlying measure preserving aid advanced along party lines. Ongoing NDAA provisions emphasize expanded U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation and joint programs rather than new restrictions, while negotiations over a successor memorandum of understanding focus on partnership transitions rather than reductions. With the September 30 resolution window approaching and no scheduled floor action advancing restrictive legislation, the market consensus reflects limited legislative momentum for changes to current aid levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,957Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican majorities in the House, combined with the July 15, 2026 rejection of Rep. Thomas Massie’s amendment to strip $3.3 billion in foreign military financing for Israel from the State Department appropriations bill by a 314-104 vote, have anchored trader expectations. Only 103 Democrats backed the cut while nearly all Republicans opposed it, and the underlying measure preserving aid advanced along party lines. Ongoing NDAA provisions emphasize expanded U.S.-Israel defense technology cooperation and joint programs rather than new restrictions, while negotiations over a successor memorandum of understanding focus on partnership transitions rather than reductions. With the September 30 resolution window approaching and no scheduled floor action advancing restrictive legislation, the market consensus reflects limited legislative momentum for changes to current aid levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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