Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,001 交易量
Nick Begich III
95%
Matt Schultz
91%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
49%
Gavin Solomon
25%
馬修「野馬」威廉斯
23%
$11,001 交易量
Nick Begich III
95%
Matt Schultz
91%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
49%
Gavin Solomon
25%
馬修「野馬」威廉斯
23%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
市場開放時間: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces a crowded nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, for Alaska’s at-large House seat, with the top finishers advancing to the ranked-choice general election. Begich’s strong 2024 victory and consistent polling leads position him as the clear frontrunner among traders, while the field includes Democratic challengers such as pastor Matt Schultz and perennial candidate Eric Hafner, plus independents like commercial fisherman Bill Hill. Candidate filing remains open until the June 27 withdrawal deadline, after which the ballot will finalize; former Rep. Mary Peltola’s decision to run for Senate instead of challenging again has further consolidated Republican support behind the incumbent. Recent surveys show Begich maintaining double-digit advantages in head-to-head and multicandidate scenarios, reflecting limited organized opposition and Alaska’s partisan leanings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions