Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusia regional election show the Popular Party (PP) holding a strong lead near or at an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament, which has kept Vox’s projected seat total in a narrow band around the current market leader. Surveys from the past week, including those by Sigma Dos, GAD3, and 40dB, place Vox between 13 and 20 seats with most estimates clustering near 15–17, reflecting stable but modest vote-share support in the low-to-mid teens. Vox has focused its final campaign push on immigration controls and a “Spaniards first” platform, including high-profile events near the Moroccan consulate, yet these efforts have not produced a clear upward shift in recent polling averages. The market’s emphasis on the 16–18 seat range aligns with the most frequent projections and the limited room for Vox to exceed that band unless the PP falls short of a majority and requires coalition support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於16-18 52%
13-15 26%
19-21 22%
22+ 13.9%
$7,375 交易量
$7,375 交易量
2026-05-17
<13
5%
13-15
26%
16-18
52%
19-21
17%
22+
9%
16-18 52%
13-15 26%
19-21 22%
22+ 13.9%
$7,375 交易量
$7,375 交易量
2026-05-17
<13
$801 交易量
5%
13-15
$765 交易量
26%
16-18
$1,057 交易量
52%
19-21
$1,802 交易量
17%
22+
$2,950 交易量
9%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusia regional election show the Popular Party (PP) holding a strong lead near or at an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament, which has kept Vox’s projected seat total in a narrow band around the current market leader. Surveys from the past week, including those by Sigma Dos, GAD3, and 40dB, place Vox between 13 and 20 seats with most estimates clustering near 15–17, reflecting stable but modest vote-share support in the low-to-mid teens. Vox has focused its final campaign push on immigration controls and a “Spaniards first” platform, including high-profile events near the Moroccan consulate, yet these efforts have not produced a clear upward shift in recent polling averages. The market’s emphasis on the 16–18 seat range aligns with the most frequent projections and the limited room for Vox to exceed that band unless the PP falls short of a majority and requires coalition support.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
市場開放時間： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
交易量
$7,375結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusia regional election show the Popular Party (PP) holding a strong lead near or at an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament, which has kept Vox’s projected seat total in a narrow band around the current market leader. Surveys from the past week, including those by Sigma Dos, GAD3, and 40dB, place Vox between 13 and 20 seats with most estimates clustering near 15–17, reflecting stable but modest vote-share support in the low-to-mid teens. Vox has focused its final campaign push on immigration controls and a “Spaniards first” platform, including high-profile events near the Moroccan consulate, yet these efforts have not produced a clear upward shift in recent polling averages. The market’s emphasis on the 16–18 seat range aligns with the most frequent projections and the limited room for Vox to exceed that band unless the PP falls short of a majority and requires coalition support.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$7,375結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the May 17, 2026, Andalusia regional election show the Popular Party (PP) holding a strong lead near or at an absolute majority in the 109-seat parliament, which has kept Vox’s projected seat total in a narrow band around the current market leader. Surveys from the past week, including those by Sigma Dos, GAD3, and 40dB, place Vox between 13 and 20 seats with most estimates clustering near 15–17, reflecting stable but modest vote-share support in the low-to-mid teens. Vox has focused its final campaign push on immigration controls and a “Spaniards first” platform, including high-profile events near the Moroccan consulate, yet these efforts have not produced a clear upward shift in recent polling averages. The market’s emphasis on the 16–18 seat range aligns with the most frequent projections and the limited room for Vox to exceed that band unless the PP falls short of a majority and requires coalition support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions