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icon for Anthropic IPO by __ ？
金融·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __ ？

icon for Anthropic IPO by __ ？
金融·IPO

Anthropic IPO by __ ？

$1,630,083 交易量

2027-06-30
Polymarket

$1,630,083 交易量

Polymarket

2026年9月15日

$118,155 交易量

1%

2026年9月30日

$512,981 交易量

11%

2026年10月31日

$475,071 交易量

69%

2026 年 12 月 31 日

$415,873 交易量

86%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, has elevated trader expectations for an IPO by year-end. The filing explicitly preserves the option to list after regulatory review, while run-rate revenue reached $47 billion amid accelerating enterprise demand for Claude. Market-implied odds reflect strong momentum from hyperscaler backing and sector comparables, yet hinge on prevailing equity windows, interest-rate stability, and completion of the SEC process. Potential catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or favorable Treasury-yield trends that could accelerate timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,630,083
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, combined with its $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation in May, has elevated trader expectations for an IPO by year-end. The filing explicitly preserves the option to list after regulatory review, while run-rate revenue reached $47 billion amid accelerating enterprise demand for Claude. Market-implied odds reflect strong momentum from hyperscaler backing and sector comparables, yet hinge on prevailing equity windows, interest-rate stability, and completion of the SEC process. Potential catalysts include any public S-1 amendments or favorable Treasury-yield trends that could accelerate timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,630,083
結束日期
2027-07-01
市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 4:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

相關

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Anthropic 還是 OpenAI 會先上市？

95%
Anthropic
icon for Anthropic 在 2027 年前被收購？

Anthropic 在 2027 年前被收購？

3%
是
icon for 到2027年12月31日的首次公開募股當日收市時，Anthropic 的市值會達到或超過 6000 億美元嗎？

到2027年12月31日的首次公開募股當日收市時，Anthropic 的市值會達到或超過 6000 億美元嗎？

96%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO by __ ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026 年 12 月 31 日" at 86%, followed by "2026年10月31日" at 69%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic IPO by __ ？" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO by __ ？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO by __ ？" is "2026 年 12 月 31 日" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年10月31日" at 69%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO by __ ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.