Incumbent Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat redrawn after the 2020 census and further adjusted for 2026, where he faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has raised significant funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field that includes multiple Republican candidates such as Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, along with other Democrats and an independent, raising the possibility of vote splitting that could determine which two candidates advance to the general election. Thompson's long tenure, moderate record, and established campaign infrastructure position him as the frontrunner, while Jones's financial edge and mobilization efforts among younger voters create the main point of competition in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,145 交易量
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
希斯·富克森
11%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
8%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,145 交易量
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
希斯·富克森
11%
約翰·衛斯理·泰勒
8%
特雷弗·梅雷爾
7%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市場開放時間: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in California's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat redrawn after the 2020 census and further adjusted for 2026, where he faces a primary challenge from Eric Jones, a venture capitalist and nonprofit executive who has raised significant funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The June 2 top-two primary features a crowded field that includes multiple Republican candidates such as Sharon Brown and Mandy Ghusar, along with other Democrats and an independent, raising the possibility of vote splitting that could determine which two candidates advance to the general election. Thompson's long tenure, moderate record, and established campaign infrastructure position him as the frontrunner, while Jones's financial edge and mobilization efforts among younger voters create the main point of competition in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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Frequently Asked Questions