2026年中國年度通脹

Name: 2026年中國年度通脹
Start: 2026-01-22T00:31:41.734Z
End: 2027-01-10T00:00:00.000Z

1.1 – 1.5% 50%

1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%

0.6 – 1.0% 23%

2.5%以上 12.4%

$40,817 交易量

2027-01-10

低於-1.0%

$17,491 交易量

<1%

-0.9 – -0.5%

$2,347 交易量

<1%

-0.4 – 0.0%

$2,564 交易量

<1%

0.1 – 0.5%

$2,852 交易量

0.6 – 1.0%

$2,956 交易量

23%

1.1 – 1.5%

$3,491 交易量

42%

1.6 – 2.0%

$3,995 交易量

24%

2.0-2.4%

$2,580 交易量

2.5%以上

$2,542 交易量

1.1 – 1.5% 50%

1.6 – 2.0% 42.8%

0.6 – 1.0% 23%

2.5%以上 12.4%

$40,817 交易量

2027-01-10

低於-1.0%

$17,491 交易量

<1%

-0.9 – -0.5%

$2,347 交易量

<1%

-0.4 – 0.0%

$2,564 交易量

<1%

0.1 – 0.5%

$2,852 交易量

0.6 – 1.0%

$2,956 交易量

23%

1.1 – 1.5%

$3,491 交易量

42%

1.6 – 2.0%

$3,995 交易量

24%

2.0-2.4%

$2,580 交易量

2.5%以上

$2,542 交易量

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report. The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)". Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年中國年度通脹" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1.1 – 1.5%" at 42%, followed by "1.6 – 2.0%" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年中國年度通脹" has generated $40.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年中國年度通脹," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年中國年度通脹" is "1.1 – 1.5%" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.6 – 2.0%" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年中國年度通脹" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年中國年度通脹." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $40.8K traded on “2026年中國年度通脹,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年中國年度通脹," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 42¢ for "1.1 – 1.5%" in the "2026年中國年度通脹" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 42% chance that "1.1 – 1.5%" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 42¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 58¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年中國年度通脹" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Jan 10, 2027. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "2026年中國年度通脹" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年中國年度通脹." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年中國年度通脹

2026年中國年度通脹

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 42¢ for "1.1 – 1.5%" mean?

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