Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since April 2023—driven by a sharp energy price spike from Middle East tensions, anchors trader focus for the June annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.0–4.2%, reflecting uncertainty over whether gasoline and shelter components will sustain the uptrend or ease amid mixed core readings. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 4.05%, while broader forecasts incorporate ongoing tariff effects and labor-market tightness that could keep readings elevated. The closely matched probabilities underscore competing forces: potential moderation in monthly gains versus sticky underlying pressures ahead of the mid-July release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4.1% 22%
4.0% 21%
4.2% 19%
4.3% 14%
≤3.6%
2%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
4%
3.9%
14%
4.0%
21%
4.1%
22%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
14%
4.4%
9%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
2%
≥4.7%
5%
4.1% 22%
4.0% 21%
4.2% 19%
4.3% 14%
≤3.6%
2%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
4%
3.9%
14%
4.0%
21%
4.1%
22%
4.2%
19%
4.3%
14%
4.4%
9%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
2%
≥4.7%
5%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
市場開放時間: Jun 10, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May 2026 CPI data at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest since April 2023—driven by a sharp energy price spike from Middle East tensions, anchors trader focus for the June annual rate. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 4.0–4.2%, reflecting uncertainty over whether gasoline and shelter components will sustain the uptrend or ease amid mixed core readings. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to roughly 4.05%, while broader forecasts incorporate ongoing tariff effects and labor-market tightness that could keep readings elevated. The closely matched probabilities underscore competing forces: potential moderation in monthly gains versus sticky underlying pressures ahead of the mid-July release.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions