Skip to main content
icon for CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者

曼尼·魯提內爾 74%

香農·伯德 23%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐 <1%

約翰·塞姆勒 <1%

Polymarket

$21,888 交易量

曼尼·魯提內爾 74%

香農·伯德 23%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐 <1%

約翰·塞姆勒 <1%

Polymarket

$21,888 交易量

曼尼·魯提內爾

$13,538 交易量

74%

香農·伯德

$2,733 交易量

23%

雅迪拉·卡拉維歐

$1,039 交易量

1%

約翰·塞姆勒

$1,552 交易量

<1%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$1,345 交易量

<1%

戴夫·楊

$1,682 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Colorado 8th District Democratic primary on June 30 due to his fundraising edge and backing from local progressive activists. The state representative has raised significantly more than former state representative Shannon Bird and maintains nearly double her cash on hand, while securing support that analysts link to stronger ground organization in the district. Bird has countered with substantial outside spending, including a low seven-figure ad buy from the Women Vote super PAC emphasizing healthcare records, and recent internal polling showing her narrowly ahead with many voters undecided. A planned debate was canceled after Bird withdrew, citing Rutinel’s attendance at a Washington fundraiser with health insurance interests. Other candidates, including former representative Yadira Caraveo, have effectively exited, leaving the contest as a head-to-head between the two leading figures.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,888
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Manny Rutinel holds a strong lead in trader consensus for the Colorado 8th District Democratic primary on June 30 due to his fundraising edge and backing from local progressive activists. The state representative has raised significantly more than former state representative Shannon Bird and maintains nearly double her cash on hand, while securing support that analysts link to stronger ground organization in the district. Bird has countered with substantial outside spending, including a low seven-figure ad buy from the Women Vote super PAC emphasizing healthcare records, and recent internal polling showing her narrowly ahead with many voters undecided. A planned debate was canceled after Bird withdrew, citing Rutinel’s attendance at a Washington fundraiser with health insurance interests. Other candidates, including former representative Yadira Caraveo, have effectively exited, leaving the contest as a head-to-head between the two leading figures.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,888
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "曼尼·魯提內爾" at 74%, followed by "香農·伯德" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $21.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" is "曼尼·魯提內爾" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "香農·伯德" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CO-08民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.