The Connecticut 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure, strong convention performance, and repeated outperformance of the ticket in prior cycles further reinforce this positioning ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Republican primary contenders face an uphill path in a district last won by their party nearly two decades ago. Late national shifts, a major Democratic scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors limit the scope for such reversals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
93%
共和黨
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$2,257 交易量
93%
共和黨
$2,782 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Connecticut 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure, strong convention performance, and repeated outperformance of the ticket in prior cycles further reinforce this positioning ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Republican primary contenders face an uphill path in a district last won by their party nearly two decades ago. Late national shifts, a major Democratic scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors limit the scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,039結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Connecticut 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure, strong convention performance, and repeated outperformance of the ticket in prior cycles further reinforce this positioning ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Republican primary contenders face an uphill path in a district last won by their party nearly two decades ago. Late national shifts, a major Democratic scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors limit the scope for such reversals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,039結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Connecticut 2nd district's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, underpins trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Joe Courtney's long tenure, strong convention performance, and repeated outperformance of the ticket in prior cycles further reinforce this positioning ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Republican primary contenders face an uphill path in a district last won by their party nearly two decades ago. Late national shifts, a major Democratic scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current structural factors limit the scope for such reversals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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