Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$3,494 交易量
94%
共和黨
$5,534 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$9,028結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,028結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rosa DeLauro’s long incumbency since 1991 and the Connecticut 3rd district’s consistent Democratic performance anchor trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at over 90 percent. The seat carries a strong partisan lean reflected in Cook Political Report’s Solid Democratic rating and DeLauro’s 58.9 percent victory in 2024. Recent primary filings show the incumbent facing limited intraparty challenges ahead of the August 2026 primary, while Republican contenders remain underfunded and face structural headwinds in a district centered on New Haven. Forecasters cite the absence of competitive polling shifts or major scandals as sustaining the lopsided market pricing. A significant health event for the incumbent, an unusually strong national Republican environment, or an unanticipated primary defeat could still alter the outcome before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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