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icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?

icon for 唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?

唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?

200+ 54%

160-179 23%

180-199 15.8%

140-159 10%

Polymarket

$23,608 交易量

200+ 54%

160-179 23%

180-199 15.8%

140-159 10%

Polymarket

$23,608 交易量

60-79

$2,317 交易量

<1%

80-99

$4,871 交易量

<1%

100-119

$1,335 交易量

2%

120-139

$1,252 交易量

7%

140-159

$570 交易量

10%

160-179

$416 交易量

23%

180-199

$634 交易量

16%

200+

$1,338 交易量

54%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's posting frequency on Truth Social during the current window reflects his established pattern of high daily output when engaged in campaign messaging and policy commentary. Traders have priced the 200+ outcome highest because his recent daily totals have routinely exceeded 25-30 posts amid ongoing political developments and direct audience interactions. Factors supporting the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets include steady platform activity without major surges from breaking events, while lower ranges remain discounted due to the absence of reduced engagement periods seen in quieter weeks. The resolution hinges on the full seven-day count through May 22, with any late-week announcements or responses potentially shifting final volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$23,608
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's posting frequency on Truth Social during the current window reflects his established pattern of high daily output when engaged in campaign messaging and policy commentary. Traders have priced the 200+ outcome highest because his recent daily totals have routinely exceeded 25-30 posts amid ongoing political developments and direct audience interactions. Factors supporting the 160-179 and 180-199 brackets include steady platform activity without major surges from breaking events, while lower ranges remain discounted due to the absence of reduced engagement periods seen in quieter weeks. The resolution hinges on the full seven-day count through May 22, with any late-week announcements or responses potentially shifting final volume.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$23,608
結束日期
2026-05-22
市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 15, 12:00 PM ET and May 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "200+" at 54%, followed by "160-179" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?" has generated $23.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?" is "200+" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "160-179" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "唐納德·川普#真相社交貼文2026年5月15日至5月22日?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.