Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Cape Town on June 9, consistent with the long-term June average high near 16–17°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This tight market consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions, including typical mid-latitude high-pressure influence and sea-surface temperatures that moderate coastal readings, with minimal model spread or risk of significant warming or cooling. A shift to 18°C or higher would require an anomalous warm advection event or berg wind, while a drop below 16°C would need an unforecast cold front—both low-probability outcomes given the latest observational data and ensemble guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 9?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$32,638 交易量
$32,638 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$32,638 交易量
$32,638 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 7, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models converge on a daily maximum of 17°C for Cape Town on June 9, consistent with the long-term June average high near 16–17°C during the Southern Hemisphere winter. This tight market consensus reflects stable atmospheric conditions, including typical mid-latitude high-pressure influence and sea-surface temperatures that moderate coastal readings, with minimal model spread or risk of significant warming or cooling. A shift to 18°C or higher would require an anomalous warm advection event or berg wind, while a drop below 16°C would need an unforecast cold front—both low-probability outcomes given the latest observational data and ensemble guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions