Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦6月10日最高溫度?
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 交易量
$43,976 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$43,976 交易量
$43,976 交易量
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 8, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus heavily favors a 17°C maximum in Cape Town on June 10, reflecting current South African Weather Service observations and short-range model guidance showing highs near 17–18°C under typical winter conditions. June climatology for the region places average daily maxima at approximately 17°C, with low variability driven by the prevailing westerly flow and marine influence from the cold Benguela Current. Official forecasts indicate stable temperatures without significant warm advection or berg wind events that could push readings higher. A realistic shift away from 17°C would require rapid changes in synoptic patterns or measurement discrepancies at official stations, though such deviations remain improbable given the tight model agreement and proximity to resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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