Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城7月22日的最高溫度?
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
26%
27°C
45%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
29°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
26%
27°C
45%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 20, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from CONAGUA and global models indicate Mexico City highs near 25–27°C on July 22 amid the rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover limiting daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28°C because variable moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, steering winds, and model spread in boundary-layer humidity create uncertainty around exact peak values on the Celsius scale. Historical July averages near 22–24°C provide context, yet recent regional patterns of scattered showers and modest subsidence have supported slightly elevated readings. Updated model runs and 24-hour observational trends from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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