Current NWS and private forecast models project a typical mid-summer pattern for Miami on July 24, with daytime highs likely peaking in the low 90s amid high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and a modest sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon thunderstorm development, driven by daytime heating and instability, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F, while delayed or weaker storms would allow readings to reach 92–93 °F. These closely matched leading outcomes reflect traders weighting the narrow spread between model consensus and historical July variability, where official Miami International Airport normals sit near 91 °F and recent days have recorded 91–93 °F under similar conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日邁阿密的最高溫度?
華氏90-91度 47%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 24%
94-95°F 3.7%
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
27%
華氏90-91度
47%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或以上
<1%
華氏90-91度 47%
88-89°F 27%
92-93°F 24%
94-95°F 3.7%
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
27%
華氏90-91度
47%
92-93°F
24%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
1%
98°F或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current NWS and private forecast models project a typical mid-summer pattern for Miami on July 24, with daytime highs likely peaking in the low 90s amid high humidity, light southeasterly flow, and a modest sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon thunderstorm development, driven by daytime heating and instability, introduces the main uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection could cap temperatures near 90–91 °F, while delayed or weaker storms would allow readings to reach 92–93 °F. These closely matched leading outcomes reflect traders weighting the narrow spread between model consensus and historical July variability, where official Miami International Airport normals sit near 91 °F and recent days have recorded 91–93 °F under similar conditions. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine the range before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions