Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European models show a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies over southern Germany, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 35–36 °C for Munich’s August 4 maximum. Ensemble guidance indicates surface temperatures peaking near these thresholds under light winds and strong insolation, with small spreads in timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight contest between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from a transient synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Traders will monitor the next DWD and ECMWF updates for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月4日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
8月4日慕尼黑的最高溫度？
35°C 40%
36°C 36%
34°C 22%
37°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
12%
35°C
40%
36°C
36%
37°C
14%
38°C
5%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
2%
35°C 40%
36°C 36%
34°C 22%
37°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-04
30°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$5 交易量
2%
32°C
$1 交易量
2%
33°C
$0 交易量
8%
34°C
$0 交易量
12%
35°C
$0 交易量
40%
36°C
$11 交易量
36%
37°C
$19 交易量
14%
38°C
$0 交易量
5%
39°C
$6 交易量
3%
40°C or higher
$15 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European models show a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies over southern Germany, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 35–36 °C for Munich’s August 4 maximum. Ensemble guidance indicates surface temperatures peaking near these thresholds under light winds and strong insolation, with small spreads in timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight contest between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from a transient synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Traders will monitor the next DWD and ECMWF updates for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$57結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from European models show a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies over southern Germany, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 35–36 °C for Munich’s August 4 maximum. Ensemble guidance indicates surface temperatures peaking near these thresholds under light winds and strong insolation, with small spreads in timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight contest between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from a transient synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Traders will monitor the next DWD and ECMWF updates for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57結束日期
2026-08-04市場開放時間
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from European models show a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies over southern Germany, supporting market-implied odds clustering around 35–36 °C for Munich’s August 4 maximum. Ensemble guidance indicates surface temperatures peaking near these thresholds under light winds and strong insolation, with small spreads in timing and boundary-layer mixing creating the tight contest between those two outcomes. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 23–25 °C, so the current warm anomaly stems from a transient synoptic setup rather than seasonal norms. Traders will monitor the next DWD and ECMWF updates for any shifts in the thermal profile before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions