The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
31°C 39%
30°C 28%
29°C 17%
32°C 17%
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
17%
30°C
28%
31°C
39%
32°C
17%
33°C
2%
34°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 22, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The closely matched trader probabilities for 30–31°C as the daily maximum in Panama City on July 24 stem from typical wet-season variability, where average July highs hover near 30°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon convection. Recent model guidance shows no significant deviations from climatological norms, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and trade-wind patterns likely capping or slightly elevating peaks depending on timing of rainfall. These factors create genuine uncertainty around the 1°C threshold, as modest differences in insolation or storm development can shift the observed high between 29–32°C. Official station data from Panama’s meteorological service will determine resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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