Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco centers the daily maximum near 66–69 °F, with the leading market bins (68–69 °F at 36.5 % and 66–67 °F at 28.5 %) reflecting tight uncertainty around afternoon peak readings. Persistent marine-layer stratus and strong onshore flow limit solar heating and vertical mixing, while the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer depth, and wind speeds will determine whether temperatures reach the upper or mid-60s. These factors align with August climatology, where average highs hover near 68 °F, yet small variations in fog dissipation or subsidence can easily shift the outcome by 2–3 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and real-time observations from downtown and SFO stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月13日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月13日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 29%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 12%
最新
$10,395 交易量
最新
$10,395 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏57度或以下
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
12%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
37%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F或更高
<1%
68-69°F 37%
66-67°F 29%
70-71°F 17%
64-65°F 12%
最新
$10,395 交易量
最新
$10,395 交易量
2026-08-13
華氏57度或以下
$1,340 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$617 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$1,402 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$940 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$1,202 交易量
12%
66-67°F
$679 交易量
29%
68-69°F
$735 交易量
37%
70-71°F
$848 交易量
17%
72-73°F
$1,026 交易量
2%
74-75°F
$1,326 交易量
<1%
76°F或更高
$281 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco centers the daily maximum near 66–69 °F, with the leading market bins (68–69 °F at 36.5 % and 66–67 °F at 28.5 %) reflecting tight uncertainty around afternoon peak readings. Persistent marine-layer stratus and strong onshore flow limit solar heating and vertical mixing, while the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer depth, and wind speeds will determine whether temperatures reach the upper or mid-60s. These factors align with August climatology, where average highs hover near 68 °F, yet small variations in fog dissipation or subsidence can easily shift the outcome by 2–3 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and real-time observations from downtown and SFO stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$10,395結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco centers the daily maximum near 66–69 °F, with the leading market bins (68–69 °F at 36.5 % and 66–67 °F at 28.5 %) reflecting tight uncertainty around afternoon peak readings. Persistent marine-layer stratus and strong onshore flow limit solar heating and vertical mixing, while the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer depth, and wind speeds will determine whether temperatures reach the upper or mid-60s. These factors align with August climatology, where average highs hover near 68 °F, yet small variations in fog dissipation or subsidence can easily shift the outcome by 2–3 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and real-time observations from downtown and SFO stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,395結束日期
2026-08-13市場開放時間
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for San Francisco centers the daily maximum near 66–69 °F, with the leading market bins (68–69 °F at 36.5 % and 66–67 °F at 28.5 %) reflecting tight uncertainty around afternoon peak readings. Persistent marine-layer stratus and strong onshore flow limit solar heating and vertical mixing, while the timing of any clearing, boundary-layer depth, and wind speeds will determine whether temperatures reach the upper or mid-60s. These factors align with August climatology, where average highs hover near 68 °F, yet small variations in fog dissipation or subsidence can easily shift the outcome by 2–3 °F. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping trader focus on the latest model runs and real-time observations from downtown and SFO stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions