Forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a sunny day with light to moderate northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when regional highs average 30–32°C under stable high-pressure influence and dry Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (72.5% implied probability) reflects this tight clustering of predictions, while lower odds on 32°C or 34°C capture minor uncertainties in local heat island effects or exact peak timing. Updated guidance later today could refine the final observed value at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月21日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
33°C 74%
32°C 14%
34°C 11%
31°C <1%
$10,710 交易量
$10,710 交易量
2026-08-21
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
14%
33°C
74%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 74%
32°C 14%
34°C 11%
31°C <1%
$10,710 交易量
$10,710 交易量
2026-08-21
29°C or below
$262 交易量
<1%
30°C
$467 交易量
<1%
31°C
$718 交易量
1%
32°C
$2,333 交易量
14%
33°C
$2,660 交易量
74%
34°C
$2,430 交易量
11%
35°C
$542 交易量
<1%
36°C
$489 交易量
1%
37°C
$189 交易量
<1%
38°C
$232 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a sunny day with light to moderate northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when regional highs average 30–32°C under stable high-pressure influence and dry Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (72.5% implied probability) reflects this tight clustering of predictions, while lower odds on 32°C or 34°C capture minor uncertainties in local heat island effects or exact peak timing. Updated guidance later today could refine the final observed value at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,710結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a sunny day with light to moderate northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when regional highs average 30–32°C under stable high-pressure influence and dry Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (72.5% implied probability) reflects this tight clustering of predictions, while lower odds on 32°C or 34°C capture minor uncertainties in local heat island effects or exact peak timing. Updated guidance later today could refine the final observed value at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,710結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models indicate a sunny day with light to moderate northwest winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting a daily maximum near 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 21. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, when regional highs average 30–32°C under stable high-pressure influence and dry Mediterranean conditions. Model consensus shows little deviation expected, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the thermal profile. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C (72.5% implied probability) reflects this tight clustering of predictions, while lower odds on 32°C or 34°C capture minor uncertainties in local heat island effects or exact peak timing. Updated guidance later today could refine the final observed value at official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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