Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in a 25°C high for Zhengzhou on September 17, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and official forecasts. Current conditions feature cloudy to partly cloudy skies with southerly winds around 5–8 mph, supporting daytime maxima near 24–26°C according to sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and regional Chinese forecasts showing highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with typical mid-September patterns for the region, where average highs hover around 24–26°C under similar synoptic setups. The implied probability exceeds 90% because real-time observations and model consensus show little deviation expected before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift such as unexpected clearing skies or altered advection that pushes the peak 2–3°C higher or lower than projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月17日鄭州氣溫最高?
25°C 98%
27°C 1.1%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
25°C 98%
27°C 1.1%
26°C <1%
29°C <1%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have placed overwhelming confidence in a 25°C high for Zhengzhou on September 17, 2026, reflecting broad agreement across meteorological models and official forecasts. Current conditions feature cloudy to partly cloudy skies with southerly winds around 5–8 mph, supporting daytime maxima near 24–26°C according to sources including the Met Office, PredictWind, and regional Chinese forecasts showing highs of 24–26°C. This aligns with typical mid-September patterns for the region, where average highs hover around 24–26°C under similar synoptic setups. The implied probability exceeds 90% because real-time observations and model consensus show little deviation expected before the daily maximum is recorded at the official station. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt shift such as unexpected clearing skies or altered advection that pushes the peak 2–3°C higher or lower than projected.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions