**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日鄭州氣溫最高？
9月3日鄭州氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 交易量
$6,805 交易量
2026-09-03
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$6,805 交易量
$6,805 交易量
2026-09-03
22°C或以下
$1,230 交易量
否
23°C
$1,240 交易量
否
24°C
$325 交易量
否
25°C
$200 交易量
否
26°C
$132 交易量
否
27°C
$995 交易量
否
28°C
$492 交易量
否
29°C
$438 交易量
是
30°C
$567 交易量
否
31°C
$400 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$786 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$6,805結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,805結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has converged on 29°C as the day's peak temperature in Zhengzhou, driven by consistent real-time observations and forecast models showing clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and stable high pressure yielding a maximum near 29°C (approximately 84–85°F) by mid-afternoon.** Official monitoring and multiple numerical weather prediction runs align on this value, with hourly data confirming temperatures climbing from morning lows near 20°C to afternoon peaks around 28–30°C before evening cooling. This market-implied probability above 99% reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified meteorological conditions rather than long-term averages. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from revised station readings or model adjustments exceeding 30°C, though current data show minimal divergence and low precipitation risk supporting the observed range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions